FAFO Moment: Don’t Start a War If You Don’t Have the Ammo

By
Mark Abramoff
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Summary:

  • Iranian retaliation accelerates, including use of cluster munitions, especially against Israel
  • Gulf countries reported new attacks Sunday morning, a day after Iran called for the evacuation of three major ports in the United Arab Emirates.
  • Iran says it targeted U.S. forces at Saudi base with missiles
  • Israel reportedly running low on missile interceptors
  • World’s largest Aluminum smelter shutdown
  • Iran arrests 500 accused of spying for Israel amid escalating conflict
  • Araghchi said the strait was only shut to US ships and those of its allies
  • Trump not ready to reach a deal with Iran yet

Days after President Trump told reporters that Iran has “shot everything they have to shoot” and has “nothing left,” Iran continues to rain retaliatory fire down on the region. Amid fresh imagery of fires burning around Tel Aviv, Saturday also brought a report that the Israel Defense Forces are running critically low on missile interceptors.

Meanwhile, in another indication that what was supposed to be a speedy, regime-change-triggering attack on Iran is mushrooming into a conflict consuming much of the region, the US government is urging every one of its citizens in Iraq to flee Iraq as quickly as possible. That advisory comes after a second damaging assault was carried out by Iran-allied militias against the American embassy in Baghdad. 

Citing unnamed US officials, Semafor reported that Israel informed its American partners that its ballistic missile interceptor supply was critically low. Both US and Israeli supplies had been severely diminished in last summer’s 12-day war on Iran — with the Pentagon burning through a quarter of its THAAD interceptors. It appears the two countries had launched this year’s surprise attack on the false assumption that the resulting warfare would be brief. One of the officials claimed that American supplies were not running low, but US forces reportedly used interceptors valued at $2.4 billion in just the first five days after attacking Iran.  

Working to run down the IDF’s interceptor supplies even faster, Iran has increasingly been using cluster munitions in its attacks on Israel. These release 24 to 80 11-pound bomblets at high altitude, making interception all the more difficult. Over Saturday night, more mayhem rained down on Israel from Iran and Lebanon’s Hezbollah militia. While Israeli censorship and AI make it challenging to find authentic imagery, Grok says this is legit: 

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